We use cookies.
By using the site, you agree to our Privacy Policy.

Laboratory for the Research of the Ozone Layer and the Upper Atmosphere

Contract number
075-15-2021-583
Time span of the project
2021-2023

As of 01.12.2023

50
Number of staff members
63
scientific publications
11
Objects of intellectual property
General information

The importance of the understanding of the recent and past changes in the ozone layer and the climate, and the forecasting of future changes, especially in the Russian Arctic and sub-Arctic, has important ecological, social, and economic implications and is recognised at the level of the government. The relevance of the problem is escalated by the absence of substantial proof of recovery of the ozone layer, the emergence of a massive ozone hole over the Arctic in the spring of 2020 and the formation of ozone mini-holes. Ozone layer research requires a consideration of the impact of natural and anthropogenic factors acting in the atmosphere from the surface of the Earth up to the near-Earth space.  

Name of the project: The forecasting of the state of the ozone layer by means of modelling and measurement of the composition of the atmosphere


Goals and objectives

Goals of project:

The objective of the project is to solve scientific and educational problems related to middle-term (up to a month) and long-term (up to 200 years) forecasting of the development of the ozone layer caused by natural and anthropogenic factors, climate change and the state of space weather. 

Project objective:

The main goals of the research are:

  1. The implementation and analysis of ground and satellite measurements of ozone, ozone-destroying substances (ODS) and the state of the atmosphere.
  2. The assessment of the past and the forecasting of the future behaviour of the ozone layer using modern models of photochemistry and the climate with consideration to various impacts, including the variability of greenhouse gases and ODS.
  3. The development of the new atmosphere-ionosphere-magnetosphere model and its application to the study of the impact of space weather on the variability of the ozone layer.
  4. The analysis of the middle-term variability of the ozone layer caused by perturbations of the atmospheric dynamics and space weather.

The practical value of the study

Scientific results:

The global distribution of total ozone content values ​​for 2015–2022 was reconstructed based on spectra measured by the Russian satellite instrument IRFS-2.

• Data were obtained and trends in total ozone content and other important gases (HNO3, ClONO2, HCl, HF, CFC-11, CFC-12, and HCFC-22) were estimated based on ground-based measurements over St. Petersburg from 2009 to 2023.

• An improved Earth system model was used to estimate climate and ozone layer changes up to 2100, based on scenarios developed for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP-6).

• Estimates of possible future decreases in UV radiation doses responsible for pre-vitamin D production over Russia have been obtained.

• The magnitude of the ozone layer response to events associated with explosive phenomena on the Sun, geomagnetic storms, and energetic particle fallout has been calculated.

• Using a chemistry-climate model modified for medium-term forecasting of the ozone layer state, an assessment of the success of reproducing the observed trends in the ozone layer and some ozone-depleting substances has been made.

• A database has been created on the ionization rates in the atmosphere associated with processes in the magnetosphere that are important for the ozone layer and the upper atmosphere.

• A new parameterization of the influence of orographic-gravity waves on circulation and the ozone layer has been created for use in chemistry-climate models.

• It has been shown that changes in solar activity can lead to changes in the conditions of reflection of acoustic gravity and planetary waves that affect ozone transport in the middle atmosphere.

• Solar proton events and magnetospheric proton precipitations have been shown to perturb the Global Electron Content.

• A new model covering the atmosphere, ionosphere and magnetosphere has been developed and tested for short-term simulation of the response to space weather events.

• A study of internal atmospheric variability has shown that it can lead to a false interpretation of the obtained perturbations of upper atmospheric parameters.

• It has been shown that during a geomagnetic storm at high latitudes, the concentration of nitric oxide in the main phase of the storm can increase by an order of magnitude.

Organizational and infrastructural changes:

A new world-class laboratory has been created

Computer cluster put into operation (around 1000 CPU cores)

Education and personnel occupational retraining:

The laboratory staff defended 6 candidate and 4 doctoral dissertations.

Cooperation:

MSU, RSHU, IZMIRAN, CAO, PGI, INM

Hide Show full
Karagodin-Doyennel, A., Rozanov, E., Sukhodolov, T., Egorova, T., Sedlacek, J., and Peter, T.
The future ozone trends in changing climate simulated with SOCOLv4 Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 2023.
Klimenko, M.V., Klimenko, V.V., Sukhodolov, T., Bessarab, F., Ratovsky, K., Rozanov, E.
Role of internal atmospheric variability in the estimation of ionospheric response to solar and magnetospheric proton precipitation in January 2005, Advances in Space Research 2023.
Koval, A. V., Toptunova, O. N., Motsakov, M. A., Didenko, K. A., Ermakova, T. S., Gavrilov, N. M., and Rozanov, E. V.
Numerical modelling of relative contribution of planetary waves to the atmospheric circulation Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 2023.
Polyakov A, Virolainen Y, Nerobelov G, Kozlov D, Timofeyev Y.
Six Years of IKFS-2 Global Ozone Total Column Measurements Remote Sensing 2023.
Egorova, T., Sedlacek, J., Sukhodolov, T., Karagodin-Doyennel, A., Zilker, F., and Rozanov, E.
Montreal Protocol's impact on the ozone layer and climate Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 2023.
Mironova I., Bazilevskaya G., Makhmutov, V., Mironov A., Bobrov N.
Energetic Electron Precipitation via Satellite and Balloon Observations: Their Role in Atmospheric Ionization. Remote Sensing 2023.
Other laboratories and scientists
Hosting organization
Field of studies
City
Invited researcher
Time span of the project
Laboratory of Geochemistry of Natural Waters (10)

M.V.Lomonosov Moscow State University - (MSU)

Earth studies and related Ecological sciences

Moscow

Konoplev Aleksei Vladimirovich

Russia

2024-2028

Laboratory of Macromolecular Design (10)

I.M. Sechenov First Moscow State Medical University - (Sechenov University)

Earth studies and related Ecological sciences

Moscow

Kostjuk Sergei Viktorovich

Belarus

2024-2028

Laboratory «Soil Health»

Southern Federal University - (SFedU)

Earth studies and related Ecological sciences

Rostov-on-Don

Wong Ming Hung

, United Kingdom

2022-2024